03/20/2026

TWIFO 489: Middle East Conflict Shakes Energy Spreads, Defies Gold Logic & Rattles Equities

In this episode, Mark Longo and Dan Gramza dive deep into the massive dislocations hitting the futures and options markets as Middle East tensions escalate. While WTI remains surprisingly range-bound, the Brent spread has widened to levels not seen in over a decade. Why isn't gold acting as a safe haven, and what is the "put bomb" currently dropping in the S&P 500?

In this episode, we cover:

  • Movers & Shakers: Heating Oil and Lumber lead the bulls, while Silver and Platinum take a massive hit.

  • Energy: The 11-year high in the Brent/WTI spread, the impact of the Strait of Hormuz, and a look at the massive 1x3 vertical calls in Brent.

  • Equities: Why the S&P 500 remains "orderly" despite the volatility, and a look at the heavy 6500 put activity.

  • Metals: The missing "flight to quality"—why Gold is selling off during a geopolitical crisis and what the 35+ vol means for traders.

  • Nat Gas: Assessing the damage to global LNG facilities and the neutral zone between $2.90 and $3.30.