Since the March 2022 peak in oil, rallies have failed. Will this one be different, we doubt it. Today, I talked with @AllAgAllDay on @OfficialRFDTVabout what happened in 2014 and 2020 following a similar three-year period of lower highs.
There is a lot of HOT money in the cattle market. There are more net long futures now than ever before. Also, the open interest in the feeder futures is at an all-time-high of 80,000, the previous record was 60,000. Everyone wants to be long at these prices except for the consumer. The risk of being long and wrong is substantial. Link to video clip is in the comments. There is a lot of HOT money in the cattle market. There are more net long futures now than ever before. Also, the open interest in the feeder futures is at an all-time-high of 80,000, the previous record was 60,000. Everyone wants to be long at these prices except for the consumer. The risk of being long and wrong is substantial. Link to video clip is in the comments.
Carley Garner will be presenting at the annual Women in Trading Online Education Event!
Yesterday, Tommy Grisafi and I discussed corn and cattle on the Cow Guy Close. Aside from the risk of demand destruction from China over tariffs, the corn market is pointing higher. Call options are cheap! Yesterday, Tommy Grisafi and I discussed corn and cattle on the Cow Guy Close. Aside from the risk of demand destruction from China over tariffs, the corn market is pointing higher. Call options are cheap!
Oil reversed from a nearly 3-year trendline today. Will the rally be liquidated? Carley Garner, futures and options broker at DeCarley Trading discussed it with Scott Shellady on the Cow Guy Close. CLICK HERE TO VIEW THE CLIP
Carley Garner and Scott Shellady spoke about the relationship between gold and the "Trump trade" on RFD-TV's Cow Guy Close. Garner spoke about the challenges of trading markets into and after a risky event such as the Presidential Election. Carley Garner and Scott Shellady spoke about the relationship between gold and the "Trump trade" on RFD-TV's Cow Guy Close. Garner spoke about the challenges of trading markets into and after a risky event such as the Presidential Election.
Are the Trump tariffs already priced into the grain markets? Scott and I reminisce about the last Chinese trade war. Click here to watch this segment of the Cow Guy Close discussing soybean prices and Trump tariffs.
Jim Rogers, author of Hot Commodities, points out that we are due for a financial catastrophe. He suggests that perhaps buying silver and agriculture is a better bet than some other markets (although he notes cash is king). I spoke about it with Scott Shellady on Cow Guy Close. CLICK HERE TO VIEW THE VIDEO
Traders and even funds hold the most significant net short position ever seen in Treasury futures. This is an aggressive position to "fight the Fed"; do they know something we don't, or will it be unwound to push rates lower and Treasuries higher? CLICK HERE TO WATCH THE INTERVIEW
Carley joined Schwab Network this morning to discuss the potential for trend reversals in gold and oil futures. According to the COT report, both markets are experiencing extreme positioning and appear to be at critical technical junctures. CLICK HERE TO VIEW THIS INTERVIEW
Carley Garner joined RFD-TV's Cow Guy Close with Scott Shellady to discuss how large funds and institutions have transitioned from an inflation trade to a deflation trade. As speculators pile into the trend, the result is a strong negative correlation between stocks and corn/soybean futures. Carley Garner joined RFD-TV's Cow Guy Close with Scott Shellady to discuss how large funds and institutions have transitioned from an inflation trade to a deflation trade. As speculators pile into the trend, the result is a strong negative correlation between stocks and corn/soybean futures.
Carley Garner joined the Cow Guy Close on RFD-TV to discuss the nature of commodity booms and busts along with the importance of hedging price risk (when you can, not when you must). Click this link to view the video.
Many people try their hand at the futures and options brokerage industry, but few can stick around for long. I talked about the hardships and victories of being a small business owner in the commodity industry with Michael Melissinos on the Talking Trends Podcast.
I went on Bloomberg TV yesterday to talk about it. P.S. Abigail, Manus, and I DID NOT plan the matchy-matchy. CLICK HERE TO VIEW THIS INTERVIEW
Carley Garner recently spoke to Conway Gittens of TheStreet.com about the gold market and its potential to rally above the all-time high. CLICK HERE TO VIEW THIS VIDEO
Whether you are speculating or hedging in the ag markets, the only way to survive is to hedge first and ask questions later. Whether you are speculating or hedging in the ag markets, the only way to survive is to hedge first and ask questions later.
The stock market is rewarding risk takers and punishing those with diversified portfolios. The stock market is rewarding risk takers and punishing those with diversified portfolios. Click the link to view this clip - https://decarleytrading.com/learn-to-trade-commodities/1020-the-stock-indices-are-coming-in-too-hot-eventually-that-will-matter
We've seen buy-the-rumor-sell-the-fact price action in oil, but the charts, seasonality, and fundamentals are positive. We talked about this on Schwab Network with Nicole Petallides today. We've seen buy-the-rumor-sell-the-fact price action in oil, but the charts, seasonality, and fundamentals are positive. We talked about this on Schwab Network with Nicole Petallides today.
Carley Garner and Scott Shellady discussed the coffee futures market on RFD-TV. As with all commodities, there is a boom and bust element, but the economic and human toll in coffee is more dramatic than in commodities produced in other parts of the world. CLICK HERE TO WATCH THE CLIP
Carley Garner and Tommy Grisafi spoke about hedging price risk going into tomorrow's USDA Report. CLICK HERE TO VIEW THE COW CLIP
Overheated equities, getting bullish on dips in metals, and the Yen carry trade. View the Video Clip by Clicking Here
Extreme currency valuations tend to have a shelf life. We talked about this on Ausbiz TV last night (Tuesday morning in Sydney). Today’s Yen weakness feels as unsustainable as the 2011 Yen strength was. Extreme currency valuations tend to have a shelf life. We talked about this on Ausbiz TV last night (Tuesday morning in Sydney). Today’s Yen weakness feels as unsustainable as the 2011 Yen strength was.
Crude oil futures are overstretched, but the big picture is probably higher for longer. Carley discussed this and the gold breakout on Schwab Network. CLICK HERE TO VIEW THE CLIP
Futures and options broker Carley Garner joined Nicole Petallides on the Schwab network to discuss the implications of a break above $84.00 in the front-month futures contract. Seasonality is supportive of the oil rally, and momentum above $84.00 could lead to prices in the vicinity of $100. Click Here to Watch the Video
