Is the screwworm fiasco already priced into cattle futures?
Stock and I discussed this on today's Cow Guy Close. Hint...I think it probably is. https://cdn.jwplayer.com/previews/erASrleY
Shorten your commodity option trading learning curve.
I don't say this enough, but we write trading education books. I think they are pretty good, but I am biased. :) These are reviews of Trading Commodity Options with Creativity. I don't say this enough, but we write trading education books. I think they are pretty good, but I am biased. :) These are reviews of Trading Commodity Options with Creativity.
Catch Carley Garner and Phil Flynn at the MoneyShow talking about Crude Oil
I'll never forget the first time I spoke to Phil Flynn as a young and green commodity broker in 2004. We both worked for the same (now defunct) futures and options brokerage, and he was a television celebrity. I couldn't have imagined what the future would hold... both of us on the cover of the MoneyShow publication and co-hosting a class on crude oil at an event in Las Vegas. We would love to see you there! I'll never forget the first time I spoke to Phil Flynn as a young and green commodity broker in 2004. We both worked for the same (now defunct) futures and options brokerage, and he was a television celebrity. I couldn't have imagined what the future would hold... both of us on the cover of the MoneyShow publication and co-hosting a class on crude oil at an event in Las Vegas. We would love to see you there!
Gold is falling out of favor in a hot money market.
Scott and Carley discussed gold while wearing a Gold(en) Knights sweater. Gold is probably repeating the 2020 Treasury blow-off top playbook. Scott and Carley discussed gold while wearing a Gold(en) Knights sweater. Gold is probably repeating the 2020 Treasury blow-off top playbook. Check out the video- https://cdn.jwplayer.com/previews/tgBTVkRG
The crude oil chart is our only hope, Scott and Carley discuss on Cow Guy Close
It is impossible to keep up with fundamentals in oil; the story changes daily. Just last night, the President posted on Truth Social, which required a lot of creative interpretation. But if we assume that markets are all-knowing and that some members of society receive inside information before we do, the chart is our only reliable guide. CLICK HERE TO WATCH THE VIDEO
Oligopolies in fertilizer causing farmers to be price takers on both ends
Today, on Cow Guy Close, we talked about commodity oligopolies and how commodity producers are being held hostage, leaving them as price takers. Today, on Cow Guy Close, we talked about commodity oligopolies and how commodity producers are being held hostage, leaving them as price takers.
Birdseye view of crude oil, bitcoin, gold, stocks, and US Treasuries.
This week, we hosted a webinar discussing the charts and fundamentals of popular trading markets. War markets are unpredictable, but we have history as a guide. We viewed intermarket correlations and monthly and weekly charts to guess what might come next. This week, we hosted a webinar discussing the charts and fundamentals of popular trading markets. War markets are unpredictable, but we have history as a guide. We viewed intermarket correlations and monthly and weekly charts to guess what might come next.
The futures markets have a commodity ETF problem.
Commodity markets are volatile enough; the last thing we need is synthetic financial products making things more complicated. Commodity ETFs such as USO pool investor money to purchase futures contracts. However, a derivative of a derivative probably isn't a good idea. CLICK HERE TO WATCH THE INTERVIEW
Scott and Carley discuss crude oil and the World Uncertainty Index
We filmed a segment of Cow Guy Close from the floor of the MoneyShow yesterday, and it was a lot of fun! Scott Shellady - The Cow Guy and Carley Garner discussed the World Uncertainty Index and Crude oil :) Check it out. We filmed a segment of Cow Guy Close from the floor of the MoneyShow yesterday, and it was a lot of fun! Scott Shellady - The Cow Guy and Carley Garner discussed the World Uncertainty Index and Crude oil :) Check it out.
What's going on in silver?
I’m rarely left speechless by markets. I’ve been doing this for a few decades, I’ve seen some things, including the financial crisis, the flash crash, the COVID meltdown, and more, but what is happening in metals leaves me with few words. Mostly because there wasn’t an obvious single event or catalyst, it has been a slow-burn of compounding of narratives that eventually snowballed into an irrational herd mentality. CLICK HERE TO WATCH THE INTERVIEW
Is the government helping or hurting farmers and markets?
Today on @CowGuyClose, I spoke with @ScottTheCowGuy about USDA Farmer Bridge Payments and the consequences of government involvement in markets and economic cycles. CLICK HERE TO VIEW THE VIDEO CLIP
Carley wouldn't try to call a bottom in crude oil yet.
The oil market isn't known for quiet bottoms. Instead, a significant bottom and subsequent bull market is only made possible by a capitulation in price and sentiment. Carley Garner and Scott Shellady discussed this on Cow Guy Close, which aired on RFD-TV. CLICK HERE TO VIEW THE VIDEO
Occidental (OXY) Sells OxyChem as Crude Oil Continues to Fall
We don't think the timing of Occidental Petroleum's sale of OxyChem to Berkshire Hathaway was random. We talked about this on the Schwab Network's Trading360 yesterday with Marley Kayden. We don't think the timing of Occidental Petroleum's sale of OxyChem to Berkshire Hathaway was random. We talked about this on the Schwab Network's Trading360 yesterday with Marley Kayden.
Carley Garner joined Trading360 on Schwab to discuss the Occidental Petroleum deal with Berkshire Hathway
Occidental Sells OxyChem as Crude Oil Slumps
Scott Shellady and Carley spoke about gold on Cow Guy Close today.
In 2020, investors chose Treasury bonds as their risk-off asset of choice. They couldn't get enough Treasuries, which were yielding less than a percent, in their portfolios. Mass accumulation of Treasuries to hedge economic and political uncertainty was the most popular narrative and trade. However, five years later, it proved to be the worst trade imaginable. In fact, although they intended to hedge risk, they were actually running into a burning house. We suspect the 2025 gold rally will eventually suffer the same fate. Here are the major takeaways, with a link to the video below -
What is next for ags with the WASDE on tap?
CLICK HERE TO VIEW THE VIDEO CLIP
Gold tariffs trigger overnight rally
Gold tariffs and a failed rally. We've seen this movie before (copper). Scott Shellady - The Cow Guy and I discussed this today on the show. Gold tariffs and a failed rally. We've seen this movie before (copper). Scott Shellady - The Cow Guy and I discussed this today on the show.
Carley Garner on CyberTrading University
Carley had the opportunity to discuss her commodity market background and the futures and options brokerage business with @cybertradingu. Topics covered include stock indices, crude oil, precious metals, and other financial assets.
Silver is not for the feint of heart...or even most traders.
I guess you could say Carley is a silver market pessimist. In her experience and observation, it is an uncivilized market that deals its fair share of misery. Scott Shellady - The Cow Guy and Carley discussed this with a side of real estate on the Cow Guy Close today. I guess you could say Carley is a silver market pessimist. In her experience and observation, it is an uncivilized market that deals its fair share of misery. Scott Shellady - The Cow Guy and Carley discussed this with a side of real estate on the Cow Guy Close today.
If crude oil bottoms, it will be because of an unforeseen catalyst.
Carley Garner joined Alex Coffey of the Schwab Network to share her views on the oil market, which she doesn't find bullish. Without an OPEC put in place, and demand waning, oil prices could fall under $50.00 per barrel. CLICK HERE TO VIEW THE CLIP.
WATCH COW GUY CLOSE WITH SCOTT SHELLADY ON RFD-TV WEEKDAYS AT 1:30 TO 2:30 EST
If you don't already, tune in to Cow Guy Close on RFD-TV weekdays from 1:30 to 2:30 Eastern for financial and ag market commentary and unique takes on the latest news stories. You will see Carley Garner of DeCarley Trading every Wednesday at 2 p.m.! If you don't already, tune in to Cow Guy Close on RFD-TV weekdays from 1:30 to 2:30 Eastern for financial and ag market commentary and unique takes on the latest news stories. You will see Carley Garner of DeCarley Trading every Wednesday at 2 p.m.!
Carley and Dale Pinkert of FACE analyzed crude oil, natural gas, gold, silver, and others.
Carley Garner shared her chart analysis on popular financial and commodity markets such as crude oil, natural gas, gold, silver, Treasuries, stock indices, and the US dollar index. CLICK HERE TO VIEW
Carley spoke to Scott Shellady, The Cow Guy, about gold and Treasuries.
The masses are buying gold and selling Treasuries. Are they wrong? History and math suggest that they might be. The masses are buying gold and selling Treasuries. Are they wrong? History and math suggest that they might be.
Carley Joined Chris Beers of NTD's Capitol Report to Discuss Crude Oil Fundamentals
Carley joined Chris Beers of NTD News to discuss the oil market and how enhanced sanctions on Iran and countries buying oil from Iran might impact pricing. CLICK HERE TO WATCH THE INTERVIEW