10-Year Treasury Note yields moved higher ahead of Nonfarm Payrolls. 1/8/26

U.S. Treasury Note yields moved higher today, reaching 4.18% as the market continues to test the 4.10% to 4.20% range established since early December. Recent labor market data including ADP, JOLTS, and weekly jobless claims influenced rate cut expectations, providing support for yields. Volatility, as measured by the CVOL Index, has been trending upward since late December as participants await further clarity. Looking ahead, focus shifts to the upcoming nonfarm payrolls report and the University of Michigan sentiment survey, which includes key inflation components that could significantly impact future Federal Reserve policy.

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