10/09/2026

One Iowa Farm Had 42 Lines of Credit. Debt Crisis Incoming??

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๐Ÿ’ฐ USDA pegs inflation-adjusted US farm debt at a record $605+ billion, roughly double the 2000 level. ๐Ÿ” But officials warn the true number may be even higher, with one economist estimating vendor and nontraditional financing could be 2โ€“3x larger than USDAโ€™s $45 billion figure.

๐ŸŒฝ Grain futures were choppy Thursday, with Dec corn settling near $5.00 and Nov soybeans dropping 10 cents to around $12.87. ๐Ÿ“Š Traders are squaring up ahead of todayโ€™s Crop Production and WASDE report while keeping an eye on harvest yields.

๐Ÿ“‹ USDA releases its October WASDE at 11am CST, and the trade expects corn yield and production to be trimmed. ๐Ÿค” Thereโ€™s a 9-bushel gap between the highest and lowest corn yield guesses, while soybean yield is expected to hold steady.

๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ Trump said the US will not attack Iran before the November 3 midterms, a day after strike talk sent Brent crude up more than 4% to above $104. โ›ฝ Gas is averaging $4.36 a gallon, up about 40% from a year ago, as public support for the war slips to just 31%.

๐ŸŒง๏ธ Heavy rain of 3 to 6+ inches brought major drought relief to the central and southern Plains, while the core Corn Belt remains drought-free. โ˜€๏ธ Dry, warm weather through October 12 should fuel a strong harvest push before wetter conditions return.

๐Ÿšข Corn export sales jumped to 769,500mt, up 44% week over week, with Mexico and Colombia leading the way. ๐ŸŒพ Wheat sales were also strong at 451,600mt, while soybean sales slowed 47% despite China buying 382,900mt.