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π§οΈ More Rain for the Corn Belt: Tropical Storm Isaias could bring 1β4 inches of rain to parts of the southeastern Corn Belt, potentially delaying harvest and increasing flooding concerns in saturated areas. π½π§οΈ The rest of the Corn Belt should remain mostly dry, offering a better harvest window.
π USDA Report Friday: Traders expect USDA to lower corn yield and production estimates, while soybean yield and production are expected to remain unchanged. π½ Corn ending stocks are expected to rise, while soybean stocks decline slightly and wheat stocks edge higher.
β½ Ethanol Production Rebounds: U.S. ethanol output jumped 4.6% last week to 1.05M barrels/day, while stocks fell 1% to 23.74M barrels. π Margins remain strong across the Corn Belt, ranging from breakeven to +40Β’/gal.
π Mortgage Rates Hit 3-Year High: The 30-year mortgage rate climbed to 7.49%, marking seven straight weeks of increases. π Mortgage applications fell 4.2%, with overall volume now nearly 50% below January levels.
π¦ Fed Keeps Rate Hike on the Table: Fed officials still see another rate hike as likely before year-end, although the timing is uncertain. π Inflation remains above the 2% target, while rising energy costs and supply constraints could complicate the Fedβs efforts to bring inflation lower.

