07/31/2025
Strategy Idea...Buy Christmas CORN with insurance.
Strategy Idea...Buy Christmas CORN with insurance. Corn appears to be showing signs of life finally.
Recommendations
07/28/2025
Strategy Idea...Buy Christmas wheat with insurance.
Wheat might be a commodity market sleeper.
07/22/2025
Strategy Idea...Bearish gold option spreads.
The gold market is still working off the froth that was built into both the futures market and the option market earlier this year. Because of relatively high volatility combined with political and economic uncertainty, the option market is offering traders an opportunity to finance bearish plays in exchange for accepting unlimited risk at much higher prices (meaning there is a lot of room for error and attractive profit potential). Gold is near its mini-downtrend line and seasonality is bearish.
07/18/2025
The DeCarley Perspective...is beef the new eggs?
Is beef the new eggs, or will consumers continue to pay a premium for the protein? Is beef the new eggs, or will consumers continue to pay a premium for the protein?
07/15/2025
Strategy Idea...Risk reversals in December E-mini S&P
The "sell in May and go away" adage has evolved into a July phenomenon. The "sell in May and go away" adage has evolved into a July phenomenon.
07/09/2025
Strategy Idea...Risk reversals in December Cattle
Fighting the trend in cattle has been brutal, but the trendlines have been respected.
Newsletters
08/05/2025
The DeCarley Perspective...A Bumper Crop in Corn is Weighing on Prices, but an Inflection Point is Near.
Farming is a tough business; when things are going well, the pay per unit of production is lower than it is in a difficult growing year. In some cases, 2025 included, the price they are set to receive for their efforts is below the cost of production. Most working Americans don’t know what it feels like to work long, hard, hot, and dirty hours with the prospect of possibly not turning a profit; farmers do A Bumper Crop in Corn is Weighing on Prices, but an Inflection Point is Near.
07/10/2025
The DeCarley Perspective...Trump's copper tariffs triggered the largest intraday rally since the 1980s
The President of the United States casually revealed the intent to impose a whopping 50% tariff on copper imports during a recent cabinet meeting. Soon after, it was confirmed to take effect on August 1st. The news, but more prominently the magnitude of the levy, shook the copper market to its core. Within minutes, futures contracts representing the industrial metal soared as much as a dollar per pound, marking the largest single-session increase since the late 1980s. Trump's copper tariffs triggered the largest intraday rally since the 1980s, but it’s probably too late to be a bull.
07/01/2025
The DeCarley Perspective...The market is giving you a Mulligan.
If you were uncomfortable with the paper losses that occurred in your investment portfolio in post- “Liberation Day” trade, now is your chance to do things differently. It isn’t often that we are given Mulligans in life, particularly so quickly after the undesirable event, but that is precisely what we are being presented with. The market is giving you a Mulligan: This is your chance to manage risk better than you did in early 2025.
06/27/2025
The DeCarley Perspective...There is a wealth shift that nobody is talking about.
Although the average investor doesn’t view markets in this way, for every transaction, there is a winner and a loser; we refer to this as a zero-sum game. This is because once a financial transaction is complete, the instrument traded either increases or decreases in value, leaving one party better off and the other worse off. Warren Buffett famously stated, “The stock market is a device to transfer money from the impatient to the patient.” This is, and always will be, a true statement. There is a wealth shift that nobody is talking about.
06/23/2025
The DeCarley Perspective...Bombs dropped, so did oil. Are precious metals next?
A muted response by the oil and precious metals markets to last weekend’s events may seem surprising at first, but this is a common occurrence. Markets are forward-looking and habitually suffer from buy-the-rumor-sell-the-fact price action. Bombs dropped, so did oil. Are precious metals next?
06/12/2025
The DeCarley Perspective...Greed is overlooking a Rare Opportunity in Risk-Off Assets.
Five, or even ten, years ago, if you had asked someone if they would accept 4.5% annually relatively risk-free (if held to expiration) for the next decade or longer, the response would have likely been skepticism. Greed is overlooking a Rare Opportunity in Risk-Off Assets.
Futures Chart Analysis
ZN ~ Monthly
ZC ~ Monthly
NASDAQ 100 ~ Monthly
DX ~ Weekly
DeCarley Press
06/25/2025
Carley Garner on CyberTrading University
Carley had the opportunity to discuss her commodity market background and the futures and options brokerage business with @cybertradingu. Topics covered include stock indices, crude oil, precious metals, and other financial assets.
06/20/2025
Silver is not for the feint of heart...or even most traders.
I guess you could say Carley is a silver market pessimist. In her experience and observation, it is an uncivilized market that deals its fair share of misery. Scott Shellady - The Cow Guy and Carley discussed this with a side of real estate on the Cow Guy Close today. I guess you could say Carley is a silver market pessimist. In her experience and observation, it is an uncivilized market that deals its fair share of misery. Scott Shellady - The Cow Guy and Carley discussed this with a side of real estate on the Cow Guy Close today.
05/28/2025
If crude oil bottoms, it will be because of an unforeseen catalyst.
Carley Garner joined Alex Coffey of the Schwab Network to share her views on the oil market, which she doesn't find bullish. Without an OPEC put in place, and demand waning, oil prices could fall under $50.00 per barrel. CLICK HERE TO VIEW THE CLIP.
05/23/2025
WATCH COW GUY CLOSE WITH SCOTT SHELLADY ON RFD-TV WEEKDAYS AT 1:30 TO 2:30 EST
If you don't already, tune in to Cow Guy Close on RFD-TV weekdays from 1:30 to 2:30 Eastern for financial and ag market commentary and unique takes on the latest news stories. You will see Carley Garner of DeCarley Trading every Wednesday at 2 p.m.! If you don't already, tune in to Cow Guy Close on RFD-TV weekdays from 1:30 to 2:30 Eastern for financial and ag market commentary and unique takes on the latest news stories. You will see Carley Garner of DeCarley Trading every Wednesday at 2 p.m.!
05/23/2025
Carley and Dale Pinkert of FACE analyzed crude oil, natural gas, gold, silver, and others.
Carley Garner shared her chart analysis on popular financial and commodity markets such as crude oil, natural gas, gold, silver, Treasuries, stock indices, and the US dollar index. CLICK HERE TO VIEW
Live Economic News/Data
08/06/2025
Trump raises India tariffs to 50% over Russian oil purchases
Trump last week said that goods from India would be subject to a tariff of 25%, in addition to a "penalty" over the country's purchase of military equipment and energy from Russia.
08/06/2025
Tim Cook to join Trump at White House for Apple investment announcement
The Cook-Trump meeting will mark the rise of Apple's total investment in the U.S. to $600 billion over the next four years, a White House official said.
08/06/2025
Trump views foreign investment pledges as gifts. Trade partners say that's way off the mark
One question underpinning the foreign investment pledges at the center of several major Trump trade deals is how they might actually be enforced.
Notices
07/10/2025
DeCarley Trading has teamed up with the folks at PiQ Suite to offer our customers access to a quick and easy trading informational hub.
DeCarley Trading has teamed up with the folks at PiQ Suite to offer our customers access to a quick and easy trading informational hub.
06/16/2025
Juneteenth Holiday Schedule
For all intents and purposes, the US Futures Markets will be closed on Thursday, the 19th, in observation of Juneteenth. For all intents and purposes, the US Futures Markets will be closed on Thursday, the 19th, in observation of Juneteenth.
06/02/2025
DeCarley Trading will be out of the office for most of tomorrow.
DeCarley Trading will not be in the office tomorrow morning, but will return late afternoon. We apologize for the late notice and any inconvenience this may have caused.
Platform Tutorial Videos
Posted on 11/22/2024
Introduction to the Stonex futures and options platform, based on CQG Desktop.
DeCarley Trading
Posted on 11/22/2024
In this video, Carley Garner of DeCarley Trading talks about setting up custom pages in CQG Desktop.
DeCarley Trading
Posted on 11/22/2024
Futures, options, and position stats can be sent via push notifications or email.
DeCarley Trading
Posted on 11/22/2024
The Stonex futures & options platform, based on CQG Desktop, offers simple/intuitive charting.
DeCarley Trading
Posted on 11/22/2024
There are many ways to enter futures/options trades into the Stonex commodity platform; here's one.
DeCarley Trading
Posted on 11/22/2024
Viewing working, filled, canceled and parked orders in the Stonex commodity platform based on CQG.
DeCarley Trading
Futures Market News
Posted on 08/05/2025
Live cattle closed sharply higher again. 8/5/25
CME Group
Posted on 08/05/2025
Were soybeans able to extend Monday's gains? 8/5/25
CME Group
Posted on 08/05/2025
Nearly $200 billion in U.S. debt hitting market this week. 8/5/25
CME Group
Posted on 08/05/2025
Crude oil down for fourth straight session. 8/5/2025
CME Group
Posted on 08/04/2025
S&P 500 futures rallied 1.5% on rate cut repricing. 8/4/25
CME Group
Posted on 08/04/2025
Yen futures climbed on safe-haven demand and BOJ policy stance. 8/4/25
CME Group
